May 23, 2023

The Great London Lie of July 19, 2022

Hello there, boys and gargoyles.  Welcome to Pat the Wonder Rat's School for Figuring Stuff out Real Good ... or Really Well ... as in "Let's make this real."  Let's find out the truth, once and for all, about the topic at hand:  The July 2022 claim that fires around London County and elsewhere in England are ratcheting upwards in frequency, year after year, causing a perpetual climate crisis in the British Isles, Part 2. 

Let us begin with the various fire & incident frequency charts provided to the public by the London Fire Brigade.  Concerning Greater London's size, it encompasses an area of 610 square miles.

In July of 2022, the media claimed that atmospheric co2 finally reached a tipping point.  The claim was that co2 was saturating the atmosphere so badly that it was now causing London to dry-out and start burning.  The same media failed to mention that the average number of Greater London fires went from 156 per day in the 1970s, '80s & '90s, to 41-55 per day in the 2020s.   In fact, when the Year 2014 came, the yearly number of Greater London fires had decreased to one-half of what they were in the 1970s, '80s, & '90s.  

The Earth's atmospheric co2 level rose unhindered year after year.   Simultaneously, Greater London fires decreased a pronounced amount, year after year.  This is 100,000% proof that an increased level of co2 does NOT cause a pattern of increased London fires.  And co2 definitely did NOT cause the two-day heat occurrence of July 18 & 19.  Now, July 19 did have a high statistical number of "incidents" attached to it, including a high number of false alarms (reported with "good intent.")  But so too did numerous other days throughout the history of Greater London. 

Let's review this correctly, without any sleight of hand con artistry:

Between 1969 and 2004, the 610 square mile region known as Greater London had between 110 to 156 fires PER DAY.  Throughout that same time period, Greater London averaged 40,000+ & 50,000+ fires per year.  Then, in the Year 2009, yearly London fires decreased below 30,000.  Then, in 2014, yearly fires decreased to 20,000 per year.  So, between 2015 and 2022, Greater London had an average of between 41 to 55 DAILY fires ... approximately. 

The number of London fires were literally cut in half, while co2 increased significantly.   Thus, a courtroom lawyer could actually tell a jury that the rise in co2 caused a decrease in London fires.  Yet, the truth is that co2 remain at an extremely small atmospheric level that it can't affect the air, either for good or bad.  It can only affect living species of vegetation, one plant and one grain at a time.  The atmosphere is humongous.  Plants, trees, weeds, and blades of grass are all tiny, in comparison.  CO2 drives the biosphere; not the atmosphere.  Cirrus clouds retain the infrared light with significance, as does water vapor.  The other greenhouse gases are too small in quantity to drive an air mass greater than a laboratory experiment chamber.

For the sake of a brainwashed generation, let it be repeated:  Greater London fires decreased significantly & constantly while atmospheric co2 was increasing notably & constantly.  Therefore, there was no way in which the co2 level of July 2022 was suddenly causing London to catch on fire.  Equally high co2 levels of 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, and 2017 resulted in Greater London having its lowest number of yearly fires ever --- in its recorded history, that is.

The news article below is "truncated."  It's only part of the whole.  The entire article can be found by clicking here:

Back to 2022

The pronounced decrease in Greater London fires occurred while the population of the area increased by 1,300,000 people.  Now, an increase in population brings with it an increased probability of fires.  However, despite the simultaneous increase in the London Area population and in the atmospheric CO2 level, Greater London achieved an eighteen-year-long streak of consistently decreased fire event numbers.  Thus, CO2 is not as powerful as the media claims it to be, in killing-off society.   The asininity of demonizing CO2 is that, without CO2, life on Earth ceases.  After all, CO2 is the activator of photosynthesis. 

 The important note here is that, from 1968 to 2004, yearly Greater London Area fires occurred in excess of 40,000 each year.  In fact, 2001 & 2003 each had over 50,000 fires, as did 1970, 1976, 1989, 1990, and 1995.  Then, the yearly number of London Area fires had progressively diminished to less than 20,000 per year, by 2017 --- in addition to the Year 2014, when only 19,621 fires occurred in Greater London.  Then, in 2021, the Greater London fire tally was under 15,000.  From 2003 to 2021, it went from 50,000+ to under 20,000.

At this point, keep in mind that the media in July of 2022 showed houses or small buildings on fire, as if CO2 caused spontaneous combustion throughout London.  "Chart #17" below is from the London Fire Brigade, and it mentions that "House fires in Greater London have reduced drastically since 1981."  This decrease occurred while co2 levels were rising and while the population of Greater London was rising by an additional 1.3 million people.

This proves that in no way did the constant rise of atmospheric co2 cause an increase in Greater London fires.  Thus, the 2022 London news reports were all scams.  It was one big false alarm.   In as much, let's view additional evidentiary support once provided by the London Fire Brigade, but which was ever-so-coincidentally taken offline three days after this discourse was originally posted:


Above:  The stats of 2021.  That's last year.  Last year was the year of the LEAST NUMBER OF FIRES in the London Area, in all of London's recorded history.  In as much, 14,929 is much less than 40,000.

Most important is that the co2 level of 2021 was the exact same co2 level of 2022, minus an insignificant one and a half parts per million.  The exact same co2 level gave the 610 square mile London Vicinity its LOWEST AMOUNT of fires-per-year, ever since record keeping began.  Thus, we have 100,000% proof that the co2 level of 2022 did NOT cause London to catch on fire, as the media very falsely claimed, to its future legal detriment. 

Above are the stats for the Year 2020.  This is the year with the second LOWEST number of fires.  17,409 is also much less than 40,000.

Directly below are the stats for the Year 2022, as of October of that year.  The Year 2022 will be one of the lowest incident & fire years on record.  In fact, it thus far is the year with the least number of incidents, depending on the November & December stats.  But as far as goes its final tally for fires, that is projected to be about 18,000 to 19,000, if this chart (posted in November) includes the October fire statistics.  If the chart below only includes the stats up to September, then the projected sum total is 20,000 to 21,000 for the year.  This also is much less than the typical 40,000+ yearly fires that occurred between 1968 and 2004.

Below is the Year 2009.  It's here to show you that other years had many more fires than did the Year 2022, in addition to what the 2014 London Fire Brigade graph showed.  The 29,591 fires of 2009 are much more than the 14,929 fires of 2021, the most recent year with "completed statistics."  Remember, 2022 still has at least November and December to be counted in its stats.
Below is the Year 2010, posted to show the same.   The 27,462 fires of 2010 are a whole lot more than the 14,929 fires of 2021.  Thus, there was no co2 saturation burning-up Greater London.  It was all a lie.

And of course, in order to show that there is no cherry picking going-on here, the Year 2011 is included.  Its fire numbers are also much higher than those of 2022, as well as 2021.  Thus, 2022 was NOT the tipping point in any capacity.  It was merely another year where the media once again lied to the public.
Now, the media reported that, on July 19, the London Fire Brigade had its busiest day since WWII.  Well, look at the charts above, at the "All Incidents" window.  Those are "fire calls" to which the London firemen and women must respond, firstly to see if it's a false alarm or not.  The Year 2011, for example, had 115,130 "incidents."  Amongst them, 55,724 were false alarms.  Divide the incident number by 12 (12 months.)  115,130 divided by 12 is 9,594 fire calls per month.  That translates into an average of 318 calls per day.  There were far more "daily incidents" (daily fire calls) in the 1970s, '80s, & '90s.
Many other years had averaged many more calls (incidents) per day than 2022 ... and 2011.  In fact, the Year 2009 had an average of 370 "incidents" (fire calls) per day.  After all, it had 134,379 incidents.  There has always been a high number of fire-calls ("incidents") in Greater London, in any one day.  Were the number of fire calls (incidents) for July 19, 2022 that much higher than any other London day, in light of the fact that the London Fire Brigade gets hundreds of calls everyday? 
UK's 2022 crop yields also prove the London-is-burning-due-to-co2 alarm to be a false one.

Now, when you see a fire occurring near green grass and green leafage, the fire is not fueled by dried-out grass and leafage.  Moreover, being that the media claimed England to have been the victim of drought and heatwaves in the Summer of 2022, one would logically conclude that the 2022 harvests of the UK would be dismal crop failures.  Well, they turned out to be very healthy crop yields, thereby showing the July 2022 media to be a cabal of sophomoric liars.  Observe:

No downhill sliding board here.  Steady crop yield pattern, with increases, since the Year 2000.

In 2022, the UK enjoyed an 8 1/2% increase in cereal grains.  It was simply that there was an approximate 1% less and a 1 1/2 % less moisture content in the harvested grains than average.  So, where is the great co2 disaster in Britain, during 2022.  The agricultural industry didn't see one, at all. 

None the less, wheat was up 11% and barley was up 6%.  The UK's main oilseed harvest was up by 39%, but the crop yield increase was only 17%, being that the UK used more farmland for planting its main oilseed crop.  In fact, the UK used 13% less farmland for oats, and the oats yield for 2022 was surmised (estimated) to be 10% less than last year.  Technically, this translates into a humble 3% increase for UK oat farmers, per acre. 

Conclusion:  There is no man-made-co2 driven climate catastrophe occurring in Greater London.  

Concerning the commercial media networks' claim that mankind has to aggressively rid the atmosphere of the industrial "carbon footprint," you need to understand the following facts:  The atmosphere is made of [1] 78% carbon-free Nitrogen, [2] 21% carbon-free Oxygen, [3] 0.93% carbon-free Argon.  Thus, the Earth's atmosphere is already at least 99.93% carbon-free.  
Know that the concentration of co2 in the atmosphere is so low that, for every 2,398 molecules in the sky, only one of them is co2.  One more time:  Outside in the sky, there is 1 and only 1 co2 molecule for every 2,398 molecules out there.  Round it off to 1 co2 molecule for every 2,400 molecules in the atmosphere. 
China, India, & Indonesia are the present concerns:  Not London.
The only valid present concern is whether the construction of multiple Chinese, Indian, & Indonesia coal power plants will result in the aggressive rise in atmospheric co2, or will there be carbon capture technology provided with each new coal plant.  An aggressive rate of rise changes the picture, moderately for the present --- but significantly for the distance future, as in the next century.
At present, there's not an immediate hysteric concern.  No scientist publicly claimed that the world is coming to an end, due to "greenhouse gases" in twelves or in 112 years.  However, the recent history of Beijing does not give humanity much trust in the ruling political political of today's China, not to mention the ruling parties of India & Indonesia.  So, we cringe, wondering what will become of the atmosphere in the decades to come.  
This is why hoaxes like the London one have to be ejected from society's concerns.  China, India, & Indonesia are what count.  Not London and not healthy Australia ... and not the American Southwest which got its share of monsoon rains in recent years.  Moreover, there is the issue with Mercury and Sulfur Dioxide when it comes to coal use.  That must be addressed more so.  BTW, refusing to go to high school in Sweden isn't going to help, at all. 
Qualifying Note:  The Sulfur Hexaflouride issue is the other important concern at present.  That one can still be proverbially nipped at the bud, though.  However, you don't jag around with something like Sulfur Hexaflouride.  You cut to the chase and get the task done.  The task is finding its substitute.   It's all too tempting for industry not to do so.

We proceed to London, in 1901, 121 years  before the July 2022 day placed under amplified attention by the media.  July 19, 2022 was presented as the unprecedented beginning of the End of the World.  The media claimed that it was a day unprecedented in the history of England.  They lied.  The truth is the climate is CYCLICAL --- unless something drastic occurs.   In as much, the Year 2022 was little more than the Year of the Great Deja Vu.  This has all been seen and experienced before.

As an added piece of documentary evidence, lets see how things were across the Atlantic Ocean, in New York City, during the same July 1901:

Let's sail over to Italy, to see how it was doing in August of 1901.

It is often stated that "history repeats itself."  Well, that is the historically proven case, concerning Climate History.  And remember, in 1901 the co2 level was a mere 296 parts per million.  The co2 count was 121 ppm LESS than today.  It was 29% LOWER than today.  Yet, sweltering heat & much more dry drought-inducing heat occurred and reoccurred throughout the first four decades of the 20th Century than today.  This was when the co2 level was much lower than today.  

 In 2014, NASA declared that the worst drought year in the past 1,000 years was 1934.  The co2 level at he time was 309 ppm.  That's 108 ppm LOWER than today.  Yet, according to the Al Gore theory, 2020, 2021, and 2022 should have been the worst drought years.  Well, contrary to what the media claimed, Arizona & Nevada have been getting yearly monsoon rains.  This neglect of reporting the truth is the result of media's managers wanting to deceive you into thinking that we are trapped in a deadly circle of Dante's Inferno.  The truth is that we are doing nothing more than repeating history in a cyclical fashion.

In caveman days, the co2 level was 260 ppm.   And during recent heated eras, such as the Roman Warm Period & the Medieval Warm Period, co2 was only 280 ppm.  Today, atmospheric co2 is 417 ppm, and today's heat is only a repeat performance of the past.  The two 1901 articles above are a small sample of the hundreds of pieces of documentary evidence which show that a rise in temperature is not dependent upon a rise in co2.  Rather, according to ice core analysis, a rise in temperature historically came first, resulting in added evaporation of ocean water and the simultaneous emission of additional co2 into the atmosphere.

Climate is a pattern --- not a week-long event or even a month-long event.  July 18th & 19th were the the result of a dry air mass from Northern Africa.   And yes, there were a couple weeks of no rain --- in July, when such a thing is likely to happen.  However, after July 19th, everything instantly went back to normal.  The "back-to-normal" part is the climate.  

To call July 2022 "unprecedented" makes knowledgeable people roll their eyes and say, "Give me a break, and cut it out with the theatrics."  After all, there was such a thing as the Great Fire of London in 1666, along with ~the Great Fire of Tooley Street, 1861, ~the Burning of the Parliament, aka the Palace of Westminster (which was a complex of buildings), 1834, ~the Whitehall Palace Fire, 1698, ~the London Bridge Area Fire, 1633, the first London Bridge Fire, 1135, ~the Southwark Fire of 1212, ~the Great Fire of 1087, ~the Great Fire of Aldgate which burned all the way to Ludgate and which included St. Paul's Cathedral, 961, ~the Fire of 120 AD, when the Romans ruled.  

And of course, there were the fires caused by Boudicca's rage.  Those were not atmospheric science issues.  In fact, the Great Fire of 120 AD could have been an act of war, as well.  None the less, calling July 2022 London fires unprecedented invalidates a journalist, as much as does calling July 2022 a co2 cataclysm, when the truth is that the rise of co2 for the last 19 years was accompanied by a major decrease in London fires for the past 19 years.
Now, Planet Earth has had atmospheric co2 at  levels 9 times and even 16 times HIGHER than today.  In fact, during the height of atmospheric co2, the Cambrian Explosion occurred, resulting in the emergence of multi-celled sea life.  And later in history, when atmospheric co2 was 9 times higher than today, the Ordovician Ice Age was in progress.  This assertion, of course, is all a matter of "ice-core proxy evidence," inter alia. --- (Inter alia means, "and other things.")  Incidentally, the "inter alia" included the stoma-count of fossilized leaves.  Stoma are openings in the leaves, where co2 is absorbed.
 Anyway, London had two back-to-back heat days, one week apart.  The first week comprised two 87 degree Fahrenheit days.  One week later, there was a 99 degree Fahrenheit day, followed by a 103 degree Fahrenheit day.  After the 103 Fahrenheit day of July 19, the temps immediately went back to normal.  But, the propaganda machines had a field day with Britain's sole 100+  Fahrenheit day.  Oh, it was Armageddon 3.0, the Apocalypse 4.0, and the End of the World, squared & cubed.

Needless to say,  it was everybody's fault, for riding in motor vehicles and keeping warm in the Wintertime, as well as using evil evil air conditioners in the Summertime. 

Below is the London Temperature Calendar, for July 2022.  Here's the London that was presented by the media as an overly heated inferno.  Okay, Bill-Gates-funded-journalists, I'm all ready for this climate crisis, end-of-the-world doomsday stuff, now.  Show me where this super oppressive, long-term, human-body-killing heat is, in the London Summer of 2022.  Where is that darn Climate Crisis that the media kept talking about?  Come out, come out, wherever you are.  Wow.  The End of the World is right in front of my face, and I can't even see it.  Silly me.  

In Celsius:

In Fahrenheit: